I utilized ProbSvr again today to help me to determine whether or not to let a warning expire or continue it. I also have the -20C MRMS height under this and that has also helped. My warning was supposed to expire at 2245z. I skipped a few screen captures for the sake of time/space.

2234Z ProbSvr was still at 90%

2238Z.. ProbSvr is down to 77%

At 2240Z…ProbSvr down to 75%

Here at 2244Z…probsvr is down to 74%

Although these probs are still fairly high.. the trend down was enough to let me expire it and the trend continued after expiration.

Lauren13