Storm Trends – ProbSevere

While the storm looked strong to possibly severe on radar, the trends in the ProbSevere Time Series were indicating a downward trend/weakening. Thus, I chose to held off on issuing a SVR. The storm did ultimately weaken, as the ProbSevere Time Series was indicating. Note, in the image, the warned storm on the right has lower probs, but was stronger in earlier scans and had produced severe hail.