Trying to anticipate future convective development. Looked at a CIMSS CAPE (fig 1) plot and seeing that the best CAPE is shifting into the eastern CWA. Took the available NUCAPS sounding and modified it with a nearby metar with a 77/66 surface reading. See plenty of CAPE (3,500 J/kg). May be too much just simply modifying the surface points along, but nonetheless it shows it is plenty unstable. This was also in a mostly clear region. Plan on testing CI-East to see if this clues in on potential development in this area. –Cattywampus.
Fig 1: CAPE shifting east along with surface low and southerly flow.
fig 2. Modified NUCAPS sounding over cloud free SE portion of the CWA. Still quite unstable.
–Cattywampus