Quarter Hail producer near Pocatello spiked on CIMSS Prob SVR Model

Chubbuck.prob_svr chubbuck_probsvr2

In about a 5 minute span the cell highlighted in blue showed a severe potential of only 20 percent but increased to 89 percent and produced reported one inch hail near Chubbuck south of Pocatello.   Interestingly the Lightning Jump detection algorithm did not indicate a significant rise in total lightning activity with this developing cell during the same time.

John Pendergrast

 

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