There have been several storms in South Florida with ProbSevere greater than 80% and ENI Dangerous Tstm Alerts. This corresponded with lightning jumps as seen in the bottom image, but were quickly followed by equally rapid drops in lightning. ProbSevere mouse-over info briefly indicated strong Norm Vert Growth Rates and Glaciation Rates. The MESH values are topping out around or just above 1 inch. If there is any severe weather at the surface it is likely very short-lived – maybe 10 minutes or so. Nearly all of these cells are in unpopulated  areas.  In this environment we are not seeing sustained updrafts.The ProbSevere and ENI Alerts still help you focus in on the strongest storms…but in the context of everything else are not indicators (so far today) that a warning should be issued.

-snowstrm