The LAPs data provided useful information for analyzing the current environment in the Lubbock CWA (and surrounding region) as well as trends in the data. Precipitable Water and CAPE are two great examples.

The PW image shows the approaching dryline from New Mexico with increasing PW out ahead of it. A loop of the data shows increasing values from MAF CWA north into very southern portion of  LUB. A similar trend is seen in the CAPE values with max values of 2500 to 3000 well to the south.   The 12Z KMAF Sounding (below) shows the low level moist airmass. When modified it indicates CAPE Values approaching 3800.

Expect the best chance of severe storms will be the Eastern portion of the LUB CWA as conditions continue to destabilize this afternoon and dry line progresses eastward.

-snowstrm