Showers, thunderstorms are initiating in our western cwa. This initiation was first noticed on satellite with rising clouds tops evident. Reflectivity started showing up at approx 1815z. These showers continued their development through the course of time. Satellite easily shows instances of this. So far, CI Prob was not picked up on this developing trend at all. No probabilities with CI showed until 1900z.  These is after storms have initiated that are at or greater than 40dbz. Will continue to watch CI Prob through the afternoon as additional storms to initiate to see if pre-existing cloud contamination throws CI Prob off.

1815z

1900z