Thunderstorms have combined to form a line moving southeast across the southwestern SJT cwa. CI Prob was indicating further developing and convection ahead of line. The model showed a good bit of possible development ahead of this line.  The indication of convection has so far been overdone. This is similar to surface based warming that fuels PM convection. Though, a the line has extended north into this region and one new cell has formed in the area being watched closely. The first photo indicated CI Prob and the area forecasters should focus on.

Here you can see where a cell in the concerned area within SJT cwa developed and the line elongated northward.

UFFSU