CI Prob shows several areas for possible thunderstorm development in central and west Texas. While CI Prob has yet to verify at the time of this blog post for much of the region, it has done a very good job in eastern MAF CWA.  The CI Prob increased from 1630 in this region when nothing was showing on radar or prob severe. CI Prob led the way.

1630z   

As the storms initiated, CI Prob continued to indicate growth of other cells. This, too, was verified on in the far west portion of SJT CWA. This provides forecasters with more confidence in CI Prob, even initialized under cirrus in this event, as additional storms are forming along this area.

1745z 

UFFSU