First Warning for the Project (ICT)

With the move to ICT we were able to issue our first warning of the project. The storm that was previously discussed re-intensified after splitting. The increasing reflectivity aloft led to the MEHS data to give a hail estimate of 1.55″ and pushed the ProbSevere up from 58% to 95%.

20150504_2147Z_ICT_ProbSevere

Thus, a warning was issued for that cell.

20150504_2155Z_ICT_ProbSevere_FirstWarn

To the northwest, a storm in DDC started to take a right turn right around the same time as a series of 2-3 sigma lightning jump values (orange in bottom left screen). Those values occurred as the storm intensified on radar and led to the ProbSevere values rising from 80% to 97% as it was nearing the cwa. Also, notice the overshooting top detection in the lower right screen.

20150504_2149Z_ICT_SecondWarn

With all of those values and the expected movement into the cwa, issued a warning for the ICT area for the storm.

20150504_2205Z_ICT_SecondWarn

-SRF

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