CI before severe thunderstorm

CI was 81 at 1830z in northern Jeff Davis County (first image). By 1901z 0.5 deg reflectivity (image 2) showed the first greater than 35 dBZ returns. By 1945z the Probability of Severe was 27 percent (image 3). Severe hail, 1.75 inches, was reported at 2008z through 2025z (image 4). By 2049z the storm had a massive Three-Body Scatter spike (image 5).

Time from the 81 percent chance of CI to hail report was 98 minutes.

Time from the first 35 dBZ returns to hail report was 67 minutes.

Time from 27 percent Probability of Severe to hail report was 23 minutes.

CI ahead of severe storm

1901zMay4radar

MAF prob svr 1945Z

MAF LSR

MAF TBSS 2049Z

-Lynford

Last three images from Vivian Darkbloom

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