The excitement at the moment is in the Texas Panhandle. A quick look at one of the cells in Amarillo’s CWA:

(note: this is LBB radar data as we’re not pulling in AMA data at the moment)

The ENI Lightning Jump algorithm shows a 2 sigma jump. The contours are the NOAA/CIMSS highly experimental probability severe, coming it at 47%.

It had peaked slightly earlier around 60%.

19Z temp and moisture profiles from JPSS came in just after 20Z. I picked a point sounding in the relatively clear area of the eastern OK Panhandle…

And the resulting temp/dewpoint profile:

Surface based CAPE was 1016 J/kg with an LI of -4C. This is comparable to the approx 1100 J/kg and -5C shown on the GOES-R LAP algorithm in this area at 19Z.

WFO AMA ended up issuing a severe thunderstorm warning for this storm. Now we wait for verification.

-V. Darkbloom