It appears that on some runs of the LAPs that it can certainly nail the dominate storms to a very specific area. This is different from yesterday where cells were very displaced from reality. What is standing out here about these storms in particular is that a cold pool is spreading out in CAPE field on the background. This storm is reported as having half inch hail which is  very close to warning criteria. Knowing that the cold pool is spreading out helps to form a feeling that the support for this cell is disappearing and it will probably weaken very soon, which can help to decide not to warn and keep FAR down. I’d also like to not that the CIMSS Prob of Severe model was close but not quite exceeding 50% percent which is one extra indicator for this storm  before this moment. little battles one by one.