Unfortunately, vLAPS seems to be struggling in getting a handle with the lack of significant convection across eastern Wyoming, the panhandle of Nebraska, and southern South Dakota. Take a look at the screen capture below at 2230Z:
The KLNX 0.5 base reflectivity is overlaid on the vLAPS surface max base reflectivity and as you can see, vLAPS is overdone. As a result, I have low confidence in using this as a reliable tool for this afternoon’s/evening’s activity.
~Linda