May 19th 2110Z

May 19th 2110Z

Here we are taking a look at the LAPS 2D Surface Brightness Temperatures and Maximum Base Reflectivity. These products can probably be useful for surface analysis. However for today, when compared against products in reality, we can quickly notice that cirrus is mysteriously absence from central South Dakota which is allowing the surface layer to bake in the model in its absence. This is leading to a set of storms being set off over this area for model radar that is not evident on current radar in reality. Confidence in this model over this area is low to minimal. The other big unfortunate item is that the model is also not initiating storms over Cheyenne territory which are already occurring with no cirrus and moving into Nebraska.

Grant H.

Edit: 22:43Z  Come to find out. The LAPS domain at this time was actually located over the east coast. This was corrected with the hour and explains why radar and brightness IR from the models were so far off.

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