Upper level analysis has ridge shifting east with trof entering the four corners region. Upper flow is west to southwest across the southern plains with 120 knot jet across central Texas.

NAM/RAP 500/700 Heights/Vorticity not showing any strong upper waves coming through this afternoon and evening.

Satellite and surface data show some mid level cloudiness moving through the southwest portions of the CWA. Dry line resides across far western portions of OK. Moist southerly BL flow continues across central and eastern portions of the area.

Nearcast moisture fields indicate increased PW’s and higher Theta E moving into the area by late afternoon and early evening.

Convection has initiated just south of the forecast area and just east of the dry line.

Scott Rudge.