Monitoring eastern WY, western NE in an area outlooked for the possibility for some severe storms.
Was going to provide an outlook concerning the pros/cons concerning getting convection to launch…but storms developed in central WY that are headed east.
A severe storm developed…Probsevere was all over it. CI was not a very useful tool as this developed due to quite a bit of cirrus
Also for the first time today saw an overshooting top. It did display on the already severe storm. Interesting is the fact that we need to mentally adjust to the parallax between this product and actual radar truth. Products will not match up lat/lon to lat/lon!—db
Update 2115Z: storm still strong with possible severe hail…but has shown some weakening. Overshooting top detection is no longer pinpointing anything, Storm does continue to travel along a maximum in instability as seen in the vertical theta-e differences. Interesting is that, while the forecast keeps that general instability around and along a path to the northeast of this storm, the Nearcast model also brings the highest instability back through to the west of where these storms are occurring. Meaning current convection would be moving from higher to lower instability, relatively speaking—db