EWP STATUS FOR 14 MAY 2013: 1 – 9 PM SHIFT

Interest tomorrow remains primarily in the southern plains / Texas region.  Convection is expected to develop along and east of the dryline which should set up along or just east of the cap rock in west texas.  Depending on how convection evolves overnight, outflow boundaries will also likely help force  convection further east out towards the DFW metroplex.  This domain will continue to provide coverage for the LAPS and OUN-WRF products. Depending on location of the dry line, we may also see convection within the west Texas or Oklahoma Lightning Mapping Array regions.

We will also keep an eye on the chance of development over the DC & northern mid-Atlantic region.  The DCLMA should be operational and it would be preferable to give the forecasters a chance to evaluate the NASA-SPoRT lightning trend tool before the week is over.

Possible CWAs tomorrow:  DFW, LUB, SJT, OUN

K. Calhoun, Week 2 Coordinator