The 22z run of the OUN WRF shows less potential for the Lubbock area but still shows development in the southwestern South Plains around 00z. We will continue to monitor but have shifted to the Amarillo area as convection enters the area from Colorado. The OUN WRF has been consistently showing the potential for growth of  complex through the evening.

Looking at 3DVAR data shows the stronger portion of storm remaining in extreme southeast Colorado at 2315z.

Here is what the Amarillo radar looks like at 2323z…

Tim/Ty