Storms have had a hard time initiating this afternoon. In fact, very little has occurred since 2 pm. The OUN WRF has continued to initiate thunderstorms early, as shown below:

The 88D at the same time:

Subsidence behind the MCS moving through central Texas continues to expand toward the southwest. The cumulus fields that were present quickly go away:

However, the winds over our southeast border have become more out of the southeast with occasional gusts over 30 mph. We are still hopeful that CI will occur over the next 1 to 2 hours. The most likely area for initiation will be over eastern New Mexico, which has shown more development based on the visible satellite.