One thing I’ve begun to wonder is will there be a loss of SA when a forecaster sees an area of “potential development”. The image below (Figure 1) illustrates the UAH-CI in the upper-left panel, while the upper-right panel shows the UW-CTC. My concern is that someone might see a CI area in the 60-70% confidence range and lose their sense of SA as they wait for further development…and the CTC algorithm to hopefully pick up on the developing storm.The UW-CTC product is designed to only pick up on the stronger development…which could easily lead to missing weaker convection. Not only that, but if any bit of the anvil goes near another developing cell…the algorithms will not pick up the newly developing thunderstorms…could end up to missing a warning.