EWP STATUS FOR 5 JUNE 2012: 1-9pm SHIFT

SPC day 2 outlook has the highest risk (15%) of severe in SE GA/NE FL, where initiation is expected after 18Z.  Another area of 15% is in the NW US.  Both of these areas have the best forecast CAPE/shear, while other areas of the South have lots of CAPE, no cap, and less shear in the model forecasts.  We’ll keep our options open in the event of development in the W TX LMA or other locations.

– T. Smith, Week 4 coordinator