EWP STATUS FOR 24 MAY 2012: 1-9pm SHIFT

Planning on a 1-9pm shift for our final day in the testbed this week…

We will likely be operating in the Iowa / Minnesota / Wisconsin region tomorrow afternoon and evening. Expectation is for isolated storms early before joining into a line / MCS later in the evening with possible embedded supercells.  Hopeful for convection as early as 1800-2100 UTC, although the last few days all the models have seemed to be a bit too aggressive for the timing of convection initiation across the central Plains… However, boundary layer moisture has been a concern the last couple days and may be less of a concern tomorrow.

Another possibility for operations tomorrow may be the Florida domain, which, depending on timing and location, may allow for at least one operational period utilizing lightning data. Or, similar to today, there is also the possibility of multicell convection across eastern NC earlier in the afternoon.

-K. Calhoun, Week 3 Coordinator