We have just switched our warning location to SE VA/NE NC with some small supercells still over land. We’ve kind of transitioned into our IOP. Greg is working the technology, and we are having a group discussion on the concept. Here are some comments.

Change “Peak Probability” to “trend Probability”

What about the users’ perspective when the warning keeps getting re-adjusted and the grid value change?

Are the threat areas too small? Could hurt if there is evolution.

Perhaps we could capture cyclic evolution by increasing the motion uncertainty.

Greg Stumpf (EWP Weekly Coordinator, 28 April – 2 May)