The Severe Weather Extended-Range forecasting and Verification Experiment (SWERVE) is testing our ability to forecast severe weather up to three weeks in advance.
SWERVE: Predicting severe weather weeks in advance
Category: Forecast Research News
Warn-on-Forecast Honored with 2025 OAR Outstanding Scientific Paper Award
A paper summarizing the Warn-on-Forecast System was selected as a recipient of the 2025 Oceanic and Atmospheric Research Outstanding Scientific Paper Award.
NSSL CAPTURES STUNNING DATA ON EF-3 TORNADO
On May 18, 2025 a tornado touched down near the town of Arnett, Oklahoma. Researchers with the NOAA National Severe Storms Laboratory (NSSL) were in place to intercept the storm and capture stunning data of the EF3-rated tornado from beginning to end.
Revolutionizing Hail Forecasts — One Falling Stone at a Time
New high-speed camera captures hail in free fall to improve public safety
Using lightning to monitor the extreme impacts of landfalling hurricanes
A new paper on data collection during Hurricane Ian discusses the deployment of and data collected by a suite of instruments during the landfall of the Category 5 hurricane in Florida in 2022.
The Tornado That Didn’t Surprise: A Story of Preparedness and Partnership
The Warn-on-Forecast System, a revolutionary new forecasting tool being developed by NOAA’s National Severe Storms Laboratory, seeks to equip forecasters with critical information between watches and warnings to allow them to offer longer lead times…
NSSL and CIWRO Pushing the Frontier of Thunderstorm-Scale AI Weather Prediction
A new paper from NSSL and CIWRO discusses a new artificial intelligence model, WoFSCast, that can accurately predict how storms will evolve up to two hours in advance.
Where Have All the EF5 Tornadoes Gone?
The way violent tornadoes in the United States are rated has changed over time, resulting in no EF5-rated tornadoes since 2013, according to researchers from the NOAA National Severe Storms Laboratory in a paper published…
Warn-On-Forecast Hits Milestone: Runs Three Domains at Once
For the first time, the NOAA National Severe Storms Laboratory’s Warn-on-Forecast System (WoFS) has successfully run short-term forecasts for three geographic areas at once—predicting severe weather, winter weather, and fire weather. The historic milestone demonstrates…
A CLEAR VISION: Phased Array Radar innovating for the future
For more than 30 years, the nation’s weather forecasting has relied heavily on the NEXRAD radar network. This network has been the global gold standard in weather radar, however the system is reaching the end of its designed lifespan.
Phased array radar stands as a potential paradigm-shift solution for the future of weather radar in the United States.