Status: Down

The IOP watch has been ended; the investigators have decided not to make the Monday night/early Tuesday event a V-SE IOP.  All available guidance suggests the probability of surface-based CAPE over 500 J/kg is low, and the probability of low-level shear supportive of tornadoes is also low.  These low probabilities imply that it is not worth using one of the two remaining IOPs for this event.

Briefings are now suspended until the UAH forecast team believes an IOP is possible within about 7 days.  Watch this blog for an announcement of the resumption of daily briefings.