STATUS: IOP Watch

We continue to watch the period from overnight Monday into early Tue morning (APR 12).  There will be a weak front passing N AL, but right now it appears that CAPE and shear will be below the climatological thresholds for tornadoes.  Further, the best CAPE and best shear are probably not going to overlap well in time.

A final decision on this IOP will happen at the 1 PM Saturday briefing, but odds are very slim.  Thereafter, there are no other events looming on the horizon, but that picture is likely to change from day to day.