STATUS: Down

Tony Lyza writes:

We are currently watching the 27 April – 3 May time frame for a potential
increase in severe weather chances across the VORTEX-SE domain.  The
blocking pattern currently in place across North America is progged to
break down over the next week, with the GFS, Euro, and their respective
ensembles indicating a good likelihood of a more progressive western
troughing pattern setting up after the 25th.  Many of the ensemble and op
guidance runs indicate the subtropical ridge breaking down, allowing for
ample PBL recovery to occur and shortwave troughing to make its way into
the Tennessee Valley region.

Our current plan is to resume 1 PM forecast briefings within 7-8 days of a
potential IOP system.  Currently, our thinking is that these briefings are
likely to resume toward the end of this week or this weekend.  24 hours
notice will be given to the restarting of briefings.