STATUS: 4 March 2016

IOP Watch

We are continuing to watch the system that will cut off in south Texas early in the week.  It appears it will weaken and lift northeast as a negatively-tilted wave, with possible favorable shear in the Thur-Fri time frame.  Right now, the flow is forecast to be unidirectional, but details may change in the coming days.

We anticipate an IOP decision around Monday.

There may be two back-to-back IOPs in mid-March… one for the lifting trough, and a second one for a more promising looking system a few days later.

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