STATUS: IOP watch for 13 March and beyond (IOP has been cancelled for 12 March)
The consensus decision today is to not attempt to observe on 12 March because it the forecasted low-level shear is at the low end of the tornado climatology. Forecasted MUCAPE spans a range from 0 to ~1000, depending on the forecast model.
Another strong vorticity maximum approaches the region on Sunday, and we are now beginning to watch this feature, and watching how the overall pattern evolves beyond Sunday.