Projects on individual decision making explored how forecast uncertainties for tornadic thunderstorms in the Southeast U.S. affect the decisions of forecasters and the public. National Weather Service (NWS) forecasters face regional challenges like frequent high-shear/low-CAPE events and a year-round threat of severe weather. Emergency managers noted that dense trees and difficult terrain pose problems, while the public expressed a need for more consistent “all-clear” messages. The research also found that false alarm tornado warnings might not be as detrimental to future responses as once thought. To improve public safety, warning messages should include specific information for mobile home residents about the safest shelter locations. Additionally, another project is developing guidelines for communicating structural vulnerability to help households make better decisions. Finally, the “Tornado Tales” survey tool was created to collect real-world experiences, which will inform future forecast communication strategies and help build community resilience.
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