NSSL Staff Profiles

Nusrat is a Senior Research Scientist at the Cooperative Institute for Severe & High-Impact Weather Research and Operations (CIWRO) and NOAA National Severe Storms Laboratory (NSSL) and an adjunct associate professor in the School of Meteorology at the University of Oklahoma.. She is the CIWRO Team Lead of the Data Assimilation and Modeling team in the Forecast Research Development Division.  Her research priority is to develop NOAA’s Warn-on-Forecast system (WoFS).

Selected Publications

Martinaitis, S. M., K. A. Wilson, N. Yussouf, J. J. Gourley, H. Vergara, T. C. Meyer, P. L. Heinselman, A. Gerard, K. L. Berry, A. Vergara, J. Monroe, 2023: A Path Toward Short-Term Probabilistic Flash Flood Prediction. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 104, E585–E605, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0026.1

Kerr, C. A., B. M. Matilla, Y. Wang, D. R. Stratman, T. A. Jones, N. Yussouf, 2023: Results from a pseudo-real-time next-generation 1-km Warn-on-Forecast System prototype. Weather and Forecasting, 38, 307–319, doi:10.1175/WAF-D-22-0080.

Hu, G., S. L. Dance, R. N. Bannister, H. G. Chipilski, O. Guillet, B. Macpherson, M. Weissmann, N. Yussouf, 2023: Progress, challenges, and future steps in data assimilation for convection-permitting numerical weather prediction: Report on the virtual meeting held on 10 and 12 November 2021. Atmospheric Science Letters, 24, e1130, doi:10.1002/asl.1130.

Wang, Y., N. Yussouf, C. A. Kerr, D. R. Stratman, B. C. Matilla, 2022: An Experimental 1-km Warn-on-Forecast System for Hazardous Weather Events. Monthly Weather Review, 150, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-22-0094.1

Clark, A. J., I. L. Jirak, B. T. Gallo, K. H. Knopfmeier, B. Roberts, M. Krocak, J. Vancil, K. A. Hoogewind, N. A. Dahl, E. D. Loken, D. Jahn, D. Harrison, D. Imy, P. Burke, L. Wicker, P. S. Skinner, P. L. Heinselman, P. Marsh, K. A. Wilson, A. Dean, G. J. Creager, T. A. Jones, J. Gao, Y. Wang, M. Flora, C. K. Potvin, C. A. Kerr, N. Yussouf, J. Martin, J. Guerra, B. C. Matilla, T. J. Galarneau, 2022: The 2nd Real-Time, Virtual Spring Forecasting Experiment to Advance Severe Weather Prediction. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 103, E1114–E1116, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0239.1.

Majumdar, S. J., J. Sun, B. Golding, P. Joe, J. Dudhia, O. Caumont, K. Gouda, P. Steinle, B. Vincendon, J. Wang, N. Yussouf, 2021: Multiscale Forecasting of High-Impact Weather: Current Status and Future Challenges. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 102, E635–E659, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0111.1.

Clark, A. J., I. L. Jirak, B. T. Gallo, B. Roberts, A. R. Dean, K. H. Knopfmeier, L. J. Wicker, M. Krocak, P. S. Skinner, P. L. Heinselman, K. A. Wilson, J. Vancil, K. S. Hoogewind, N. A. Dahl, G. J. Creager, T. A. Jones, J. Gao, Y. Wang, E. D. Loken, M. Flora, C. A. Kerr, N. Yussouf, S. R. Dembek, W. Miller, J. Martin, J. Guerra, B. Matilla, D. Jahn, D. Harrison, D. Imy, M. C. Coniglio, 2021: A Real-Time, Virtual Spring Forecasting Experiment to Advance Severe Weather Prediction. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 102-4, April 2021, E814–E816, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0268.1..

Weber, M., K. Hondl, N. Yussouf, Y. Jung, D. Stratman, B. Putnam, X. Wang, T. Schuur, C. Kuster, Y. Wen, J. Sun, J. Keeler, Z. Ying, J. Cho, J. Kurdzo, S. Torres, C. Curtis, D. Schvartzman, J. Boettcher, F. Nai, H. Thomas, D. Zrnic, I. Ivic, D. Mirkovic, C. Fulton, J. Salazar, G. Zhang, R. Palmer, M. Yeary, K. Cooley, M. Istok, M. Vincent, 2021: Towards the Next Generation Operational Meteorological Radar. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 102, E2357–E1383, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0067.1

Wang, Y., N. Yussouf, E. R. Mansell, B. C. Matilla, R. Kong, M. Xue, V. C. Chmielewski, 2021: Impact of Assimilating GOES-R Geostationary Lightning Mapper Flash Extent Density Data on Severe Convection Forecasts in a Warn-on-Forecast System. Monthly Weather Review, 149, 10, 3217–3241, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-20-0406.1

Stratman, D. R., N. Yussouf, Y. Jung, T. A. Supinie, M. Xue, P. S. Skinner, B. J. Putnam, 2020: Optimal Temporal Frequency of NSSL Phased Array Radar Observations for an Experimental Warn-on-Forecast System. Weather and Forecasting, 35, 193–214, doi:10.1175/WAF-D-19-0165.1.

Jones, T. A., P. Skinner, N. Yussouf, K. Knopfmeier, A. Reinhart, X. Wang, K. Bedka, W. Smith Jr., R. Palikonda, 2020: Assimilation of GOES-16 Radiances and Retrievals into the Warn-on-Forecast System. Monthly Weather Review, 148, 1829–1859, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-19-0379.1

McFarquhar, G. M., E. Smith, E. A. Pillar-Little, K. Brewster, P. B. Chilson, T. R. Lee, S. Waugh, N. Yussouf, X. Wang, M. Xue, G. de Boer, J. A. Gibbs, C. Fiebrich, B. Baker, J. Brotzge, F. Carr, H. Christophersen, M. Fengler, P. Hall, T. Hock, A. Houston, R. Huck, J. Jacob, R. Palmer, P. K. Quinn, M. Wagner, Y. Zhang, D. Hawk, 2020: Current and Future Uses of UAS for Improved Forecasts/Warnings and Scientific Studies. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 101, E1322–E1328, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0015.1

Yussouf, N., K. A. Wilson, S. M. Martinaitis, H. Vergara, P. L. Heinselman, J. J. Gourley, 2020: The Coupling of NSSL Warn-on-Forecast and FLASH Systems for Probabilistic Flash Flood Prediction. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 21, 123–141, doi:10.1175/JHM-D-19-0131.1.

Yussouf, N., T. A. Jones, P. S. Skinner, 2020: Probabilistic high‐impact rainfall forecasts from landfalling tropical cyclones using Warn‐on‐Forecast system. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146, 2050–2065, doi:10.1002/qj.3779.

Yussouf, N., K. Knopfmeier, 2019: Application of Warn-on-Forecast System for Flash-Flood Producing Heavy Convective Rainfall Events. Quarterly Journal of Royal Meteorological Society, 145, 2385–2403, doi:10.1002/qj.3568.

Oliveira, M. I., M. Xue, B. Roberts, L. J. Wicker, N. Yussouf, 2019: Horizontal Vortex Tubes near a Simulated Tornado: Three-Dimensional Structure and Kinematics. Atmosphere, 10, doi:10.3390/atmos10110716

Hu, J., N. Yussouf, D. Turner, T. A. Jones, X. Wang, 2019: Impact of Ground-Based Remote Sensing Boundary Layer Observations on Short-Term Probabilistic Forecasts of a Tornadic Supercell Event. Weather and Forecasting, 34, 1453–1476, https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-18-0200.1

Jones, T. A., P. Skinner, N. Yussouf, K. Knopfmeier, A. Reinhart, D. Dowell, 2019: Forecasting High-Impact Weather in Landfalling Tropical Cyclones Using a Warn-on-Forecast System. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 100, 1405–1417, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0203.1

Flora, M. L., P. S. Skinner, C. K. Potvin, A. E. Reinhart, T. A. Jones, N. Yussouf, K. H. Knopfmeier, 2019: Object-Based Verification of Short-Term, Storm-Scale Probabilistic Mesocyclone Guidance from an Experimental Warn-on-Forecast System. Weather and Forecasting, 34, 1721–1739, doi:10.1175/WAF-D-19-0094.1

Lawson, J. R., J. S. Kain, N. Yussouf, D. C. Dowell, D. M. Wheatley, K. H. Knopfmeier, T. A. Jones, 2018: Advancing from Convection-Allowing NWP to Warn-on-Forecast: Evidence of Progress. Weather and Forecasting, 3, doi:10.1175/WAF-D-17-0145.1

Supinie, T. A., N. Yussouf, Y. Jung, M. Xue, J. Cheng, S. Wang, 2017: Comparison of the Analyses and Forecasts of a Tornadic Supercell Storm from Assimilating Phased-Array Radar and WSR-88D Observations. Weather and Forecasting, 32, 1379–1401, doi:10.1175/WAF-D-16-0159.1

Yussouf, N., J. S. Kain, A. J. Clark, 2016: Short-Term Probabilistic Forecasts of the 31 May 2013 Oklahoma Tornado and Flash Flood Event Using a Continuous-Update-Cycle Storm-Scale Ensemble System. Weather and Forecasting, 31, No. 3, 957–983, doi:10.1175/WAF-D-15-0160.1.

Zhuang, Z., N. Yussouf, J. Gao, 2016: Analyses and forecasts of a tornadic supercell outbreak using a 3DVAR system ensemble. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 33, 544–558, doi:10.1007/s00376-015-5072-0. 

Yussouf, N., D. C. Dowell, L. J. Wicker, K. H. Knopfmeier, D. M. Wheatley, 2015: Storm-scale Data Assimilation and Ensemble Forecasts for the 27 April 2011 Severe Weather Outbreak in Alabama. Monthly Weather Review, 143, 3044–3066. https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-14-00268.1

Wheatley, D. M., N. Yussouf, D. J. Stensrud, 2014: Ensemble Kalman filter analyses and forecasts of a severe mesoscale convective system using different choices of microphysics schemes. Monthly Weather Review, 142, 3243–3263, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-13-00260.1

Yussouf, N., J. Gao, D. J. Stensrud, G. Ge, 2013: The Impact of Mesoscale Environmental Uncertainty on the Prediction of a Tornadic Supercell Storm Using Ensemble Data Assimilation Approach. Advances in Meteorology, 2013, 1–15, doi:10.1155/2013/731647.

Stensrud, D. J., L. J. Wicker, M. Xue, D. T. Dawson II, N. Yussouf, D. M. Wheatley, T. E. Thompson, N. A. Snook, T. M. Smith, A. D. Schenkmn, C. K. Potvin, E. R. Mansell, T. Lei, K. M. Kuhlman, Y. Jung, T. A. Jones, J. Gao, M. C. Coniglio, H. E. Brooks, K. A. Brewster, 2013: Progress and challenges with Warn-on-Forecast. Atmospheric Research, 123, 2–16, doi:10.1016/j.atmosres.2012.04.004.

Yussouf, N., E. R. Mansell, L. J. Wicker, D. M. Wheatley, D. J. Stensrud, 2013: The Ensemble Kalman Filter Analyses and Forecasts of the 8 May 2003 Oklahoma City Tornadic Supercell Storm Using Single- and Double-Moment Microphysics Schemes. Monthly Weather Review, 141, 3388–3412, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-12-00237.1.

Wheatley, D. M., D. J. Stensrud, D. C. Dowell, N. Yussouf, 2012: Application of a WRF Mesoscale Data Assimilation System to Springtime Severe Weather Events 2007-09. Monthly Weather Review, 140, 1539–1557, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-11-00106.1

Yussouf, N., D. J. Stensrud, 2012: Comparison of Single-Parameter and Multiparameter Ensembles for Assimilation of Radar Observations Using the Ensemble Kalman Filter. Monthly Weather Review, 140, 562–586, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-10-05074.1.

Yussouf, N., D. J. Stensrud, 2010: Impact of Phased-Array Radar Observations over a Short Assimilation Period: Observing System Simulation Experiments Using an Ensemble Kalman Filter. Monthly Weather Review, 138, 517–538, doi:10.1175/2009MWR2925.1.

Stensrud, D. J., N. Yussouf, D. C. Dowell, M. C. Coniglio, 2009: Assimilating surface data into a mesoscale model ensemble: Cold pool analyses from spring 2007. Atmos. Res, 93, 207–220, doi:10.1016/j.atmosres.2008.10.009

James, K. A., D. J. Stensrud, N. Yussouf, 2009: Value of Real-Time Vegetation Fraction to Forecasts of Severe Convection in High-Resolution Models. Weather and Forecasting, 24, 187–210, doi:10.1175/2008WAF2007097.1

Yussouf, N., D. J. Stensrud, 2008: Reliable Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts from a Short-Range Ensemble Forecasting System during the 2005/06 Cool Season. Monthly Weather Review, 136, 2157–2172, https://doi.org/10.1175/2007MWR2314.1

Yussouf, N., D. J. Stensrud, 2007: Bias-Corrected Short-Range Ensemble Forecasts of Near-Surface Variables during the 2005/06 Cool Season. Weather and Forecasting, 22, 1274–1286, doi:10.1175/2007WAF2007002.1

Stensrud, D. J., N. Yussouf, 2007: Reliable probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasts from a short-range ensemble forecasting system. Monthly Weather Review, 22, 3–17, https://doi.org/10.1175/2007MWR2314.1

Stensrud, D. J., N. Yussouf, M. E. Baldwin, J. T. McQueen, J. Du, B. Zhou, B. Ferrier, G. Manikin, F. M. Ralph, J. M. Wilczak, A. B. White, I. Djlalova, J. W. Bao, R. J. Zamora, S. G. Benjamin, P. A. Miller, T. L. Smith, T. Smirnova, M. F. Barth, 2006: The New England High-Resolution Temperature Program. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 87, 491–498. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-87-4-491

Yussouf, N., D. J. Stensrud, 2006: Prediction of near surface variables at independent locations from a bias-corrected ensemble forecasting system. Monthly Weather Review, 134, 3415–3424. https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR3258.1

Stensrud, D. J., N. Yussouf, 2005: Bias-corrected short-range ensemble forecasts of near surface variables. Meteorological Applications, 12, 217–230, https://doi.org/10.1017/S135048270500174X

Yussouf, N., D. J. Stensrud, S. Lakshmivarahan, 2004: Cluster analysis of multimodel ensemble data over New England. Monthly Weather Review, 132, 2452–2462. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(2004)132<2452:CAOMED>2.0.CO;2

Stensrud, D.J., and N. Yussouf, 2003:  Short-range ensemble predictions of 2-m temperature and dewpoint temperature over New England.  Monthly Weather Review, 131, 2510-2524. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(2003)131<2510:SEPOMT>2.0.CO;2