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Michael Coniglio

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Observations & Processes Team (OPT)

Job Title:Research Scientist

Affiliation:Federal

Email:Email hidden; Javascript is required.

Phone:(405) 325-6227

Dr. Michael Coniglio is a Research Scientist in the Forecast Research and Development Division (FRDD) of NSSL. Michael's primary responsibilities are to conduct research using meteorological observations from well-focused field projects, data assimilation, and numerical models to improve severe weather forecasting and our fundamental understanding of the atmosphere. Emphasis is placed upon understanding the dynamics of severe storms and their interaction with the environment. To address these goals, Michael collaborates with scientists from universities and other federal agencies, procures outside funding, interacts with operational forecasters within the National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center in formal testbeds and/or in smaller focused research projects, and advises/mentors students and early-career scientists.

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Education
Degree (Ph.D, M.S, B.A, etc.) Major Subject University or College Name Year (YYYY) (optional)
Ph.D Meteorology University of Oklahoma 2004
M.S Meteorology University of Oklahoma 1999
B.S Meteorology State University of New York College at Oswego 1997
Research Interests
  • Severe Storm Processes and Environments
  • Tornadogenesis
  • Severe Storms Forecasting
  • Numerical Modeling of Convective Weather
  • Derechos
Professional Activities
  • VORTEX-USA Working Group
  • Associate Editor, Monthly Weather Review and Weather and Forecasting
  • Affiliate Faculty, University of Oklahoma School of Meteorlogy
Honors & Awards
Award Name Year
AMS Editor's Award for Weather and Forecasting 2020
NSSL Outstanding Scientific Paper Award 2009, 2020
AMS Kenneth C. Spengler Award 2011
Presidential Early Career Award for Scientists and Engineers 2008
Selected Publications

Coniglio, M., R. Jewell, 2022: SPC mesoscale analysis compared to field-project soundings: Implications for supercell environment studies. Monthly Weather Review, 150, 567–588, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-21-0222.1.

Flournoy, M. D., A. W. Lyza, M. A. Satrio, M. R. Diedrichsen, M. C. Coniglio, S. Waugh, 2022: A climatology of cell mergers with supercells and their association with mesocyclone evolution. Monthly Weather Review, 150, 451–461, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-21-0204.1.

Laser, J., M. C. Coniglio, P. S. Skinner, E. N. Smith, 2022: Doppler Lidar and Mobile Radiosonde Observation-Based Evaluation of Warn-on-Forecast System Predicted Near-Supercell Environments during TORUS 2019. Weather and Forecasting, 37, 10, 1783–1804, doi:10.1175/WAF-D-21-0190.1.

Flournoy, M. D., M. C. Coniglio, E. N. Rasmussen, 2021: Examining relationships between environmental conditions and supercell motion in time. Monthly Weather Review, 36, 737–755, doi:10.1175/WAF-D-20-0192.1.

Paredes, M., B. Schenkel, R. Edwards, M. Coniglio, 2021: Tropical Cyclone Outer Size Impacts the Number and Location of Tornadoes. Geophysical Research Letters, 48, 24, 1–10, doi:10.1029/2021GL095922.

Schenkel, B., M. Coniglio, R. Edwards, 2021: How does the relationship between ambient deep-tropospheric vertical wind shear and tropical cyclone tornadoes change between coastal and inland environments?. Weather and Forecasting, 36, 539–566, doi:10.1175/WAF-D-20-0127.1.

Wagner, M. A., R. K. Doe, C. Wang, E. Rasmussen, M. C. Coniglio, K. Elmore, R. C. Balling, R. S. Cerveny, 2021: High-Resolution Observations of Microscale Influences on a Tornado Track Using Unpiloted Aerial Systems (UAS). Monthly Weather Review, 149, 8, 2819–2834, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-20-0213.1.

Coniglio, M. C., M. D. Parker, 2020: Insights into Supercells and Their Environments from Three Decades of Targeted Radiosonde Observations. Monthly Weather Review, 148, 4893–4915, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-20-0105.1.

Flournoy, M. D., M. C. Coniglio, E. N. Rasmussen, J. C. Furtado, B. E. Coffer, 2020: Modes of storm-scale variability and tornado potential in VORTEX2 near- and far-field tornadic environments. Monthly Weather Review, 148, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-20-0147.1.

Potvin, C. K., P. S. Skinner, K. A. Hoogewind, M. C. Coniglio, J. A. Gibbs, A. J. Clark, M. L. Flora, A. E. Reinhart, J. R. Carley, E. N. Smith, 2020: Assessing Systematic Impacts of PBL Schemes on Storm Evolution in the NOAA Warn-on-Forecast System. Monthly Weather Review, 148, 2567–2590, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-19-0389.1.

Schenkel, B. A., R. A. Edwards, M. C. Coniglio, 2020: A Climatological Analysis of Ambient Deep-Tropospheric Vertical Wind Shear Impacts upon Tornadoes in Tropical Cyclones. Weather and Forecasting, 35, 2033–2059, doi:doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-19-0220.1..

Schenkel, B. A., R. Edwards, M. Coniglio, 2020: New Insights into the Number and Location of Tornadoes in Landfalling Hurricanes. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 101, 748–749.

Coniglio, M. C., G. S. Romine, D. D. Turner, R. D. Torn, 2019: Impacts of Targeted AERI and Doppler Lidar Wind Retrievals on Short-Term Forecasts of the Initiation and Early Evolution of Thunderstorms. Monthly Weather Review, 147, 1149–1170, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-18-0351.1.

Flournoy, M. D., M. C. Coniglio, 2019: Origins of Vorticity in a Simulated Tornadic Mesovortex Observed during PECAN on 6 July 2015. Monthly Weather Review, 147, 107–134, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-18-0221.1.

Hitchcock, S. M., R. S. Schumacher, G. R. Herman, M. C. Coniglio, M. D. Parker, C. L. Ziegler, 2019: Evolution of Pre- and Postconvective Environmental Profiles from Mesoscale Convective Systems during PECAN. Monthly Weather Review, 147, 2329–2354, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-18-0231.1.

Alfaro, D. A., M. C. Coniglio, 2018: Discrimination of Mature and Dissipating Severe-Wind-Producing MCSs with Layer-Lifting Indices. Weather and Forecasting, 33, 3–21, doi:10.1175/WAF-D-17-0088.1.

Wade, A. R., M. C. Coniglio, C. L. Ziegler, 2018: Comparison of Near- and Far-Field Supercell Inflow Environments Using Radiosonde Observations. Monthly Weather Review, 146, 2403–2415, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-17-0276.1.

Campbell, M. A., A. E. Cohen, M. C. Coniglio, A. R. Dean, S. F. Corfidi, C. M. Mead, 2017: Structure and Motion of Severe-Wind-Producing Mesoscale Convective Systems and Derechos in Relation to the Mean Wind. Weather and Forecasting, 32, 423–439, doi:10.1175/WAF-D-16-0060.1.

Cohen, A. E., S. M. Cavallo, M. C. Coniglio, H. E. Brooks, I. L. Jirak, 2017: Evaluation of Multiple Planetary Boundary Layer Parameterization Schemes in Southeast U.S. Cold Season Severe Thunderstorm Environments. Weather and Forecasting, 32, 1857–1884, doi:10.1175/WAF-D-16-0193.1.

Coniglio, M. C., S. M. Hitchcock, K. H. Knopfmeier, 2016: Impact of Assimilating Preconvective Upsonde Observations on Short-Term Forecasts of Convection Observed during MPEX. Monthly Weather Review, 144, 4301–4325, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-16-0091.1.

Corfidi, S. F., M. C. Coniglio, A. E. Cohen, C. M. Mead, 2016: A Proposed Revision to the Definition of “Derecho”. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97, 935–950, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00254.1.

Hitchcock, S. M., M. C. Coniglio, K. H. Knopfmeier, 2016: Impact of MPEX Upsonde Observations on Ensemble Analyses and Forecasts of the 31 May 2013 Convective Event over Oklahoma. Monthly Weather Review, 144, 2889–2913, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-15-0344.1.

Clark, A. J., M. C. Coniglio, B. E. Coffer, G. Thompson, M. Xue, F. Kong, 2015: Sensitivity of 24-h Forecast Dryline Position and Structure to Boundary Layer Parameterizations in Convection-Allowing WRF Model Simulations. Weather and Forecasting, 30, 613–638, doi:10.1175/WAF-D-14-00078.1.

Cohen, A. E., S. M. Cavallo, M. C. Coniglio, H. E. Brooks, 2015: A Review of Planetary Boundary Layer Parameterization Schemes and Their Sensitivity in Simulating Southeastern U.S. Cold Season Severe Weather Environments. Weather and Forecasting, 30, 591–612, doi:10.1175/WAF-D-14-00105.1.

Trier, S. B., G. S. Romine, D. A. Ahijevych, R. J. Trapp, R. S. Schumacher, M. C. Coniglio, D. J. Stensrud, 2015: Mesoscale Thermodynamic Influences on Convection Initiation near a Surface Dryline in a Convection-Permitting Ensemble. Monthly Weather Review, 143, 3726–3753, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-15-0133.1.

VandenBerg, M. A., M. C. Coniglio, A. J. Clark, 2014: Comparison of Next-Day Convection-Allowing Forecasts of Storm motion on 1- and 4-km Grids. Weather and Forecasting, 29, 878–893, doi:10.1175/WAF-D-14-00011.1.

Coniglio, M. C., J. Correia, P. T. Marsh, F. Kong, 2013: Verification of Convection-Allowing WRF Model Forecasts of the Planetary Boundary Layer using Sounding Observations. Weather and Forecasting, 28, 842–862, doi:dx.doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-11-00026.1.

Stratman, D. R., M. C. Coniglio, S. E. Koch, M. Xue, 2013: Use of Multiple Verification Methods to Evaluate Forecasts of Convection from Hot- and Cold-Start Convection-Allowing Models. Weather and Forecasting, 28, 119–138, doi:10.1175/WAF-D-12-00022.1.

Coniglio, M. C., 2012: Verification of RUC 0-1-hour forecasts and SPC Mesoscale Analyses using VORTEX2 Soundings. Weather and Forecasting, 27, 667–683, doi:10.1175/WAF-D-11-00096.1.

Coniglio, M. C., S. F. Corfidi, J. S. Kain, 2012: Views on Applying RKW Theory: An Illustration Using the 8 May 2009 Derecho-Producing Convective System. Monthly Weather Review, 140, 1023–1043, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-11-00026.1.

Coniglio, M. C., S. F. Corfidi, J. S. Kain, 2011: Environment and Early Evolution of the 8 May 2009 Derecho-Producing Convective System. Monthly Weather Review, 139, 1083–1102, doi:10.1175/2010MWR3413.1.

Coniglio, M. C., J. Y. Hwang, D. J. Stensrud, 2010: Environmental Factors in the Upscale Growth and Longevity of MCSs Derived from Rapid Update Cycle Analyses. Monthly Weather Review, 138, 3514–3539.

Coniglio, M. C., K. L. Elmore, J. S. Kain, S. J. Weiss, M. Xue, M. L. Weisman, 2010: Evaluation of WRF model output for severe weather forecasting from the 2008 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Experiment. Weather and Forecasting, 25, 408–427, doi:10.1175/2009WAF2222258.1.

Engerer, N. A., D. J. Stensrud, M. C. Coniglio, 2008: Surface Characteristics of Observed Cold Pools. Monthly Weather Review, 136, 4839–4849, doi:10.1175/2008MWR2528.1.

Cohen, A. E., M. C. Coniglio, S. F. Corfidi, S. J. Corfidi, 2007: Discrimination of Mesoscale Convective System Environments Using Sounding Observations. Weather and Forecasting, 22, 1045–1062, doi:10.1175/WAF1040.1.

Coniglio, M. C., A. E. Cohen, S. F. Corfidi, S. J. Corfidi, 2007: Discrimination of MCS environments using sounding observations. Weather and Forecasting, 22, 1045–1062.

Coniglio, M. C., H. E. Brooks, S. F. Corfidi, S. J. Weiss, 2007: Forecasting the Maintenance of Quasi-Linear Mesoscale Convective Systems. Weather and Forecasting, 22, 556–570.

Coniglio, M. C., D. J. Stensrud, L. J. Wicker, 2006: Effects of upper-level shear on the structure and maintenance of strong quasi-linear mesoscale convective systems. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 63, 1231–1252.

Stensrud, D. J., M. C. Coniglio, R. P. Davies-Jones, J. S. Evans, 2005: Comments on “A Theory for Strong Long-Lived Squall Lines” Revisited. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 62, 2989–2996.

Coniglio, M. C., D. J. Stensrud, 2004: Interpreting the Climatology of Derechos. Weather and Forecasting, 19, 595–605.

Coniglio, M. C., D. J. Stensrud, M. B. Richman, 2004: An observational study of derecho-producing convective systems. Weather and Forecasting, 19, 320–337.

Coniglio, M. C., D. J. Stensrud, 2001: Simulation of a progressive derecho using composite initial conditions. Monthly Weather Review, 129, 1593–1616.