{"id":6728,"date":"2025-04-21T15:06:14","date_gmt":"2025-04-21T20:06:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/nsslnews\/?p=6728"},"modified":"2025-04-22T10:36:37","modified_gmt":"2025-04-22T15:36:37","slug":"nssl-and-ciwro-pushing-the-frontier-of-thunderstorm-scale-ai-weather-prediction","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/nsslnews\/2025\/04\/nssl-and-ciwro-pushing-the-frontier-of-thunderstorm-scale-ai-weather-prediction\/","title":{"rendered":"NSSL and CIWRO Pushing the Frontier of Thunderstorm-Scale AI Weather Prediction"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/essopenarchive.org\/users\/829074\/articles\/1223249-wofscast-a-machine-learning-model-for-predicting-thunderstorms-at-watch-to-warning-scales?commit=28a29eb79f581eb711296cc6e87b572a2f091cc4\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/essopenarchive.org\/users\/829074\/articles\/1223249-wofscast-a-machine-learning-model-for-predicting-thunderstorms-at-watch-to-warning-scales?commit=28a29eb79f581eb711296cc6e87b572a2f091cc4\">A new paper<\/a> on artificial intelligence in forecasting, authored by the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.noaa.gov\/\">NOAA<\/a> National Severe Storms Laboratory (NSSL) and the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ou.edu\/ciwro\">Cooperative Institute for Severe and High-Impact Weather Research and Operations (CIWRO)<\/a>, was selected by the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.agu.org\/\">American Geophysical Union (AGU)<\/a> and the editors of <a href=\"https:\/\/agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/journal\/19448007\"><em>Geophysical Research Letters<\/em><\/a> to be featured as a Research Spotlight on<a href=\"https:\/\/eos.org\"> EOS.org<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-essential-blocks-button  root-eb-button-0cpka\"><div class=\"eb-parent-wrapper eb-parent-eb-button-0cpka \"><div class=\"eb-button-wrapper eb-button-alignment eb-button-0cpka\"><div class=\"eb-button\"><div class=\"eb-button-inner-wrapper \"><a class=\"eb-button-anchor \" href=\"https:\/\/essopenarchive.org\/users\/829074\/articles\/1223249-wofscast-a-machine-learning-model-for-predicting-thunderstorms-at-watch-to-warning-scales?commit=28a29eb79f581eb711296cc6e87b572a2f091cc4\" rel=\"noopener\">View the paper<\/a><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image alignright size-medium\"><a href=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/nsslnews\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/21\/2025\/04\/20210504_2100_1hr-2-scaled.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"900\" height=\"502\" src=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/nsslnews\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/21\/2025\/04\/20210504_2100_1hr-2-900x502.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-6731\" srcset=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/nsslnews\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/21\/2025\/04\/20210504_2100_1hr-2-900x502.png 900w, https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/nsslnews\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/21\/2025\/04\/20210504_2100_1hr-2-1800x1004.png 1800w, https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/nsslnews\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/21\/2025\/04\/20210504_2100_1hr-2-1200x669.png 1200w, https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/nsslnews\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/21\/2025\/04\/20210504_2100_1hr-2-1536x857.png 1536w, https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/nsslnews\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/21\/2025\/04\/20210504_2100_1hr-2-2048x1143.png 2048w, https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/nsslnews\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/21\/2025\/04\/20210504_2100_1hr-2-600x335.png 600w, https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/nsslnews\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/21\/2025\/04\/20210504_2100_1hr-2-2400x1339.png 2400w, https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/nsslnews\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/21\/2025\/04\/20210504_2100_1hr-2-500x279.png 500w, https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/nsslnews\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/21\/2025\/04\/20210504_2100_1hr-2-800x446.png 800w, https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/nsslnews\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/21\/2025\/04\/20210504_2100_1hr-2-1280x714.png 1280w, https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/nsslnews\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/21\/2025\/04\/20210504_2100_1hr-2-1920x1071.png 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 767px) 100vw, (max-width: 1200px) 60vw, 720px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Left: NSSL&#8217;s AI-powered WoFSCast predicts thunderstorm development up to two hours in advance. <br>Right: Actual real-world thunderstorm reflectivity<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>NSSL and CIWRO\u2019s submission discusses a new artificial intelligence model, WoFSCast, that can accurately predict how storms will evolve up to two hours in advance. The process of generating a prediction takes less than a minute, making it significantly faster than current systems.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;The cheaper and faster forecasts enabled by WoFSCast will further extend forecast and warning lead times based on the Warn-on-Forecast concept,\u201d said Adam Clark, acting NSSL Branch Director.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>By using an AI-enhanced system, the National Weather Service may be able to issue severe weather warnings earlier and reduce the harm caused by these extreme weather events.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>AGU Research Spotlights summarize the research and findings of the best accepted articles for the broad Earth and space science community.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A new paper from NSSL and CIWRO discusses a new artificial intelligence model, WoFSCast, that can accurately predict how storms will evolve up to two hours in advance. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":186,"featured_media":6729,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_eb_attr":"","ghostkit_customizer_options":"","ghostkit_custom_css":"","ghostkit_custom_js_head":"","ghostkit_custom_js_foot":"","ghostkit_typography":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[6,4,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6728","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-collaboration","category-forecast","category-news"],"acf":[],"wps_subtitle":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/nsslnews\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6728","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/nsslnews\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/nsslnews\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/nsslnews\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/186"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/nsslnews\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6728"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/nsslnews\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6728\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6737,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/nsslnews\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6728\/revisions\/6737"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/nsslnews\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6729"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/nsslnews\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6728"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/nsslnews\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6728"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/nsslnews\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6728"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}