{"id":8194,"date":"2014-05-08T16:20:09","date_gmt":"2014-05-08T21:20:09","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/hwt.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/internal\/blog\/?p=8194"},"modified":"2016-10-03T17:52:56","modified_gmt":"2016-10-03T22:52:56","slug":"laps-and-dsm","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/2014\/05\/08\/laps-and-dsm\/","title":{"rendered":"LAPS and DSM"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>LAPS has finally caught up a bit.\u00a0 Seems to be struggling a little with the line of storms crossing the IA\/NE border.\u00a0 Here&#8217;s LAPS forecast 1930Z column max reflectivity<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2014\/05\/laps1930Drawing.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-8195\" alt=\"laps1930Drawing\" src=\"http:\/\/hwt.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/internal\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/05\/laps1930Drawing-1024x584.jpg\" width=\"584\" height=\"333\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s DMX-88D from 19:30.\u00a0 Notice model underestimation of developing line.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2014\/05\/rad1rawing.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-8199\" alt=\"rad1rawing\" src=\"http:\/\/hwt.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/internal\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/05\/rad1rawing-1024x584.jpg\" width=\"584\" height=\"333\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Jump ahead to 2030Z.\u00a0 LAPS had that initial cell move no the NE and dissipate completely, then rapid redevelopment of convection between 20:15 and 20:30Z near the IA\/NE border again.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2014\/05\/laps2rawing.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-8200\" alt=\"laps2rawing\" src=\"http:\/\/hwt.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/internal\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/05\/laps2rawing-1024x584.jpg\" width=\"584\" height=\"333\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>That initial line of convection never quit, though&#8230;and by 20:27Z a much stouter line of convection was continuing and farther east than what LAPS has indicated.<a href=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2014\/05\/rad2Drawing.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-8202\" alt=\"rad2Drawing\" src=\"http:\/\/hwt.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/internal\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/05\/rad2Drawing-1024x584.jpg\" width=\"584\" height=\"333\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>What remains to be seen&#8230;here&#8217;s the LAPS forecast valid 2200Z.\u00a0 Line of convection continues&#8230;what seems odd is the east\/west line of something that develops near the IA\/MO border and is moving northeast. Also of note&#8230;an east\/west, wave-like formation in the CAPE forecast that drifts in from the south.\u00a0 Anomalous CAPE ridges spurring on a convective response in the model?\u00a0 Is this a model issue near the domain edge or is there a process that the model is trying to pick up on?\u00a0 someone remind me to check at 22Z!\u00a0 db<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2014\/05\/CAPE.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-8204\" alt=\"CAPE\" src=\"http:\/\/hwt.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/internal\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/05\/CAPE-1024x584.jpg\" width=\"584\" height=\"333\" \/><\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2014\/05\/rad3.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-8205\" alt=\"rad3\" src=\"http:\/\/hwt.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/internal\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/05\/rad3-1024x584.jpg\" width=\"584\" height=\"333\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Update: it&#8217;s a boundary condition issue.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>LAPS has finally caught up a bit.\u00a0 Seems to be struggling a little with the line of storms crossing the IA\/NE border.\u00a0 Here&#8217;s LAPS forecast 1930Z column max reflectivity Here&#8217;s&#8230; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/2014\/05\/08\/laps-and-dsm\/\" class=\"more-link\">Read more \u00bb<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":215,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8194","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-general"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8194","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/215"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8194"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8194\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13640,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8194\/revisions\/13640"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8194"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8194"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8194"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}