{"id":76,"date":"2008-04-30T18:23:19","date_gmt":"2008-04-30T23:23:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hwt.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/internal\/blog\/?p=76"},"modified":"2008-04-30T18:23:19","modified_gmt":"2008-04-30T23:23:19","slug":"probwarn-exercise","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/2008\/04\/30\/probwarn-exercise\/","title":{"rendered":"Live Blog – 30 April 2008 (6:23pm)"},"content":{"rendered":"

Notes on Gridded Warning Archive Case
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Stream of consciousness notes from Mike Cammarata’s exercise:<\/p>\n

Getting used to the software. Mike has some experience with this from earlier this week.<\/p>\n

“Calibrated” ourselves with the MESH.<\/p>\n

Desire to hide\/show products more easily.<\/p>\n

Would like to know when the next update is expected in displaced realtime case.<\/p>\n

Long list of products (mostly warning output grids) became cumbersome to deal with.<\/p>\n

At one point, Mike realized that we were encompassing more than the *current* threat area, made that adjustment.<\/p>\n

———————————————————————————————————-<\/p>\n

Group discussion: Mike Cammarata and Patrick Marsh, warning participants (Kristin\/Kevin M. pw coords.)<\/p>\n

A more informed decision could be made with better technology and guidance tools. For example, storm-following loops and cross-sections (even automated).<\/p>\n

Took longer to issue due to polygon drawing (hard to get used to different knobology)<\/p>\n

How did we feel about issuing probabilities? Probability was very arbitrary. Mike: “At what level of risk are we going to have a tornado?”<\/p>\n

Discussion ensued about difference between achieving GPRA goals and current paradigm of warnings.<\/p>\n

Discussion about significant call to action. (Are probs the best way? For tornado?)<\/p>\n

Every decision maker has their individual cost-loss ratio for each decision made.<\/p>\n

Andy feels that the “public” needs to know when to be told to “duck”.<\/p>\n

The big issue is how we can objectively calibrate forecasters to the verification and to each other, so that there is a consistent answer for each warning.<\/p>\n

Kevin Manross and Greg Stumpf (Gridded Warning Cognizant Scientists)
\n<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Notes on Gridded Warning Archive Case Stream of consciousness notes from Mike Cammarata’s exercise: Getting used to the software. Mike has some experience with this from earlier this week. “Calibrated”… <\/p>\n

Read more \u00bb<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":82,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-76","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-blogs"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/82"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=76"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=76"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=76"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=76"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}