{"id":644,"date":"2009-05-19T14:14:24","date_gmt":"2009-05-19T19:14:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hwt.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/internal\/blog\/?p=644"},"modified":"2009-05-19T14:14:24","modified_gmt":"2009-05-19T19:14:24","slug":"may-19-2009-outlook","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/2009\/05\/19\/may-19-2009-outlook\/","title":{"rendered":"Outlook &#8211; 19 May 2009"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"attachment_647\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-647\" style=\"width: 300px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline; color: #0000ee;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/dt>\n<\/dl>\n<\/div>\n<p>We begin today wrapping up loose ends from Monday. \u00a0Forecasters will navigate some archived LMA data for the first time, just to get a feel for the data. \u00a0We will then spend 45 minutes completing an archive CASA case that was suspended at the end of yesterday, while the PAR group conducts a second archive case. \u00a0At that point, around 3:30 pm CDT, we hope to attempt a real-time Intensive Operations Period (IOP) for the Multi-Radar\/Multi-Sensor project. \u00a0Today&#8217;s target is the Intermountain West, and perhaps the plains of southeast Montana.<\/p>\n<div class=\"mceTemp\">\n<dl id=\"attachment_645\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"width: 310px;\">\n<dt class=\"wp-caption-dt\"><a href=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2009\/05\/swody1_051909_1630.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-645\" title=\"swody1_051909_1630\" src=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2009\/05\/swody1_051909_1630-300x225.jpg\" alt=\"Day 1 Categorical Convective Outlook and Hail Probabilities from the SPC issued 1630Z\" width=\"300\" height=\"225\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-647\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Day 1 Categorical Convective Outlook and Hail Probabilities from the SPC issued 1630Z<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The region from northern Utah across Idaho\/Wyoming and into Montana, is in the warm sector ahead of an advancing Pacific cold front and associated upper level trough. \u00a0Scattered thunderstorms are forecast to form within a deeply mixed boundary layer. \u00a0Weak to low-end moderate CAPE and cloud-layer shear of 25 to 40 knots should be sufficient for organized multicell storms with marginal wind and hail threats. \u00a0There is a chance for a supercell in southeast Montana if storms can root close to the surface&#8230;where greater dewpoints to near 50 F have pooled along a quasi-stationary front.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_646\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-646\" style=\"width: 300px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2009\/05\/hpc_sfc_051909.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-646\" title=\"hpc_sfc_051909\" src=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2009\/05\/hpc_sfc_051909-300x225.jpg\" alt=\"HPC Surface Analysis Midday\" width=\"300\" height=\"225\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-646\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">HPC Surface Analysis Midday<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2009\/05\/model_precip12hr.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-647\" title=\"model_precip12hr\" src=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2009\/05\/model_precip12hr-300x225.jpg\" alt=\"NAM 6-hr Precip from 18-00 Z May 19, 2009.  Image from UCAR\" width=\"300\" height=\"225\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>NAM 6-hr Precip from 18-00 Z May 19, 2009. Image from UCAR<\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-size: 10pt; font-family: Verdana;\">Patrick Burke (EWP Weekly Coordinator, 18-22 May 2009)<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The region from northern Utah across Idaho\/Wyoming and into Montana, is in the warm sector ahead of an advancing Pacific cold front and associated upper level trough. \u00a0Scattered thunderstorms are&#8230; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/2009\/05\/19\/may-19-2009-outlook\/\" class=\"more-link\">Read more \u00bb<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":85,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-644","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-outlooks"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/644","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/85"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=644"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/644\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=644"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=644"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=644"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}