{"id":4847,"date":"2012-06-07T16:05:33","date_gmt":"2012-06-07T21:05:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hwt.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/internal\/blog\/?p=4847"},"modified":"2012-06-07T16:05:33","modified_gmt":"2012-06-07T21:05:33","slug":"bou-here-we-go","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/2012\/06\/07\/bou-here-we-go\/","title":{"rendered":"BOU: Here we go!"},"content":{"rendered":"

Well…we decided to issue our first warning based on the UW-CTC. Let’s see what kind of lead time we get!<\/p>\n

CTC rates were around -20C\/15 min and we are just beginning to see some reflectivity.<\/p>\n

We will update to let you know if we get any verification or if this turns out to be a false alarm!<\/p>\n

Update: A great question was just posed: do you plot the warning downstream of the developing storm – based on the Warn-on-Forecast? Or do you just use the CTC as a ‘red flag’ and follow the development as it progresses…issuing the warning at a later time?? What are YOUR thoughts?!?!<\/p>\n

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CTC (upper right image on left panel) with first severe thunderstorm warning (right panels)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Update: 2207z….<\/p>\n

We issued another warning based on CTC! We seemed to kill any potential with the first CTC-based warning….perhaps this one will work out!!<\/p>\n

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CTC based warning #2<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Trends on MESH and reflectivity have improved on this storm and now appears severe on radar.<\/p>\n

5:43pm CDT update: VERIFIED! 1.50″ 4:30pm local time (MDT)!! The initial warning was issued at 4:07pm MDT.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Well…we decided to issue our first warning based on the UW-CTC. Let’s see what kind of lead time we get! CTC rates were around -20C\/15 min and we are just… <\/p>\n

Read more \u00bb<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":215,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4847","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-blogs"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4847","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/215"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4847"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4847\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4847"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4847"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4847"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}