{"id":4627,"date":"2012-06-05T15:30:13","date_gmt":"2012-06-05T20:30:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hwt.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/internal\/blog\/?p=4627"},"modified":"2012-06-05T15:30:13","modified_gmt":"2012-06-05T20:30:13","slug":"oun-dont-put-all-your-chips-into-one-or-two-products","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/2012\/06\/05\/oun-dont-put-all-your-chips-into-one-or-two-products\/","title":{"rendered":"OUN: Don&#8217;t put all your chips into one [or two] products&#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>One thing I&#8217;ve begun to wonder is will there be a loss of SA when a forecaster sees an area of &#8220;potential development&#8221;. The image below (Figure 1) illustrates the UAH-CI in the upper-left panel, while the upper-right panel shows the UW-CTC. My concern is that someone might see a CI area in the 60-70% confidence range and lose their sense of SA as they wait for further development&#8230;and the CTC algorithm to hopefully pick up on the developing storm.The UW-CTC product is designed to only pick up on the stronger development&#8230;which could easily lead to missing weaker convection. Not only that, but if any bit of the anvil goes near another developing cell&#8230;the algorithms will not pick up the newly developing thunderstorms&#8230;could end up to missing a warning.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_4647\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-4647\" style=\"width: 450px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2012\/06\/CI-Satellite.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-4647\" title=\"CI Satellite\" src=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2012\/06\/CI-Satellite-1024x602.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"450\" height=\"264\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-4647\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Figure 1: convective initiation tools<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>One thing I&#8217;ve begun to wonder is will there be a loss of SA when a forecaster sees an area of &#8220;potential development&#8221;. The image below (Figure 1) illustrates the&#8230; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/2012\/06\/05\/oun-dont-put-all-your-chips-into-one-or-two-products\/\" class=\"more-link\">Read more \u00bb<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":333,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4627","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-blogs"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4627","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/333"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4627"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4627\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4627"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4627"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4627"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}