{"id":4163,"date":"2012-05-21T15:52:34","date_gmt":"2012-05-21T20:52:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hwt.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/internal\/blog\/?p=4163"},"modified":"2012-05-21T15:52:34","modified_gmt":"2012-05-21T20:52:34","slug":"wrf-forecast-wfo-ama","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/2012\/05\/21\/wrf-forecast-wfo-ama\/","title":{"rendered":"WRF Forecast-WFO AMA"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Here we are focusing on the forecast for WFO Amarillo.\u00a0 First, let&#8217;s look at current conditions:<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_4164\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-4164\" style=\"width: 452px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2012\/05\/MON-visobs2030Z.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-4164\" title=\"VIS Sat and SFC OBS ~2011Z\" src=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2012\/05\/MON-visobs2030Z-1024x707.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"452\" height=\"310\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-4164\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">VIS Sat and SFC OBS from ~20Z across the WFO Amarillo CWA<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">With temp\/dewpoint spreads approaching 25\u00baF, the potential for strong downburst winds seems to be the biggest threat with developing convection this afternoon.\u00a0 This is supported by NAM12km forecast soundings which exhibit somewhat inverted-v profiles in the low levels around 21Z.\u00a0 Focus on SW parts of the CWA.\u00a0 There are a few NNW-SSE bands of developing TCU.\u00a0 Now let&#8217;s look at the 19Z OUNWRF forecast:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">\n<figure id=\"attachment_4165\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-4165\" style=\"width: 450px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2012\/05\/MON-ounwrf_2130Zfcst.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-4165\" title=\"19Z OUNWRF Forecast valid 2130Z\" src=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2012\/05\/MON-ounwrf_2130Zfcst-1024x707.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"450\" height=\"310\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-4165\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">19Z OUNWRF Forecast valid 2130Z.  Top left panel shows 1km AGL Simulated Reflectivity, and the bottom left panel shows Max SFC Hourly Wind Speed.  <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Indeed, if we look at the 19Z OUNWRF forecast, a few cells should initiate in the vicinity of these TCU lines mentioned above by ~2130Z (top left panel).\u00a0 It also shows developing outflow\/downburst winds with these cells, though the model forecast does not indicate severe wind gusts quite yet (lower left panel).&#8211;Gordon Strassberg\/Matt Hirsch&#8211;WFO Amarillo Team<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Here we are focusing on the forecast for WFO Amarillo.\u00a0 First, let&#8217;s look at current conditions: With temp\/dewpoint spreads approaching 25\u00baF, the potential for strong downburst winds seems to be&#8230; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/2012\/05\/21\/wrf-forecast-wfo-ama\/\" class=\"more-link\">Read more \u00bb<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":215,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4163","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-blogs"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4163","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/215"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4163"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4163\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4163"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4163"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4163"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}