{"id":19275,"date":"2023-05-24T17:26:44","date_gmt":"2023-05-24T22:26:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/?p=19275"},"modified":"2023-05-25T18:50:14","modified_gmt":"2023-05-25T23:50:14","slug":"octane-and-probsvr-highlight-elko-county-supercell","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/2023\/05\/24\/octane-and-probsvr-highlight-elko-county-supercell\/","title":{"rendered":"Octane and ProbSvr Highlight Elko County Supercell"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3 class=\"subsection-header2\">Octane and Prob Severe Highlight Elko County Supercell<\/h3>\n<p>As thunderstorms continued to mature through the afternoon, the Octane speed sandwich continued to highlight an increase in downwind velocities from an isolated supercell across central Elko County. In tandem with the increased downwind velocities, a minimum in velocities occurred on the opposing upwind side of the strengthening supercell.<\/p>\n<p>ProbSevere v3 highlighted the increasing trend in severe probabilities and in tandem with the Octane speed sandwich product, and solidified the decision to keep a severe thunderstorm warning in effect for the central Elko County supercell. Prob severe values were quite a bit higher with v3 compared to v2 (see details below). The decision to not issue a tornado warning was due to the high LCL values in the region (&gt;1,800 m AGL), despite increased ProbTor values maxing out around 17% for this supercell.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Octane speed sandwich for severe-warned storm across central Elko County<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-19276\" src=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2023\/05\/OctaneSpeed_ElkoCountySvr.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"2036\" height=\"1209\" \/> Prob Severe v3 at 2028Z for severe-warned supercell across central Elko County<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-19278\" src=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2023\/05\/Screenshot-from-2023-05-24-20-35-26-900x534.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"900\" height=\"534\" srcset=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2023\/05\/Screenshot-from-2023-05-24-20-35-26-900x534.png 900w, https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2023\/05\/Screenshot-from-2023-05-24-20-35-26-1800x1068.png 1800w, https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2023\/05\/Screenshot-from-2023-05-24-20-35-26-768x456.png 768w, https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2023\/05\/Screenshot-from-2023-05-24-20-35-26-1536x911.png 1536w, https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2023\/05\/Screenshot-from-2023-05-24-20-35-26-600x356.png 600w, https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2023\/05\/Screenshot-from-2023-05-24-20-35-26.png 2030w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 767px) 100vw, (max-width: 1200px) 60vw, 720px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>V-SRM-HC-SW at 2110Z for central Elko County severe-warned supercell<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-19319\" src=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2023\/05\/V_SRM_ctrlElkoSvr-900x534.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"900\" height=\"534\" srcset=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2023\/05\/V_SRM_ctrlElkoSvr-900x534.png 900w, https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2023\/05\/V_SRM_ctrlElkoSvr-1800x1067.png 1800w, https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2023\/05\/V_SRM_ctrlElkoSvr-768x455.png 768w, https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2023\/05\/V_SRM_ctrlElkoSvr-1536x911.png 1536w, https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2023\/05\/V_SRM_ctrlElkoSvr-600x356.png 600w, https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2023\/05\/V_SRM_ctrlElkoSvr.png 2034w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 767px) 100vw, (max-width: 1200px) 60vw, 720px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>ProbSvr v3 at 2116Z for central Elko County severe-warned supercell &#8211; 82% v3 vs 37% v2 Probhail 73% v3 vs 30% v2; Probwind 14% v3 vs 42% v2; Probtor 17% v3 vs 2% v2<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-19320\" src=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2023\/05\/PrboSvr-with-Svr_CtrlElko-900x534.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"900\" height=\"534\" srcset=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2023\/05\/PrboSvr-with-Svr_CtrlElko-900x534.png 900w, https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2023\/05\/PrboSvr-with-Svr_CtrlElko-1800x1069.png 1800w, https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2023\/05\/PrboSvr-with-Svr_CtrlElko-768x456.png 768w, https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2023\/05\/PrboSvr-with-Svr_CtrlElko-1536x912.png 1536w, https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2023\/05\/PrboSvr-with-Svr_CtrlElko-600x356.png 600w, https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2023\/05\/PrboSvr-with-Svr_CtrlElko.png 2021w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 767px) 100vw, (max-width: 1200px) 60vw, 720px\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Octane and Prob Severe Highlight Elko County Supercell As thunderstorms continued to mature through the afternoon, the Octane speed sandwich continued to highlight an increase in downwind velocities from an&#8230; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/2023\/05\/24\/octane-and-probsvr-highlight-elko-county-supercell\/\" class=\"more-link\">Read more \u00bb<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":181,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,93,14,94],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-19275","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","category-octane-speed-sandwich","category-probsevere","category-spg2023"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19275","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/181"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19275"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19275\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":19522,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19275\/revisions\/19522"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19275"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19275"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19275"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}