![\"\"](\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2019\/06\/Screenshot-from-2019-06-06-20-57-07-900x459.png\")
<\/p>\n<\/p>\n
Had an interesting opportunity to watch a quickly intensifying cell relatively close to the radar.\u00a0 While ProbHail did a decent job monitoring the trend in this cell, its (2 to 4 minute) latency in an environment conducive of rapidly intensifying cell could possibly lead to a reduction in Lead Time. By monitoring the cell via All-Tilts BR\/BV\/CC\/ZDR and GOES-East Satellite Imagery via Mesosector, I was able to get roughly 5 additional minutes of lead time on my warning (ProbHail was less than 45% by warning issuance). A good reminder as to how the ProbSevere suite is best utilized as an additional tool, and not necessarily the deciding factor in warning ops, especially in freshly forming cells.<\/p>\n
![\"\"](\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2019\/06\/Screenshot-from-2019-06-06-21-03-54-900x592.png\")
<\/p>\n
Quick update: The earlier warning did verify with quarter-sized hail. I did find some utility with the ProbHail when it came to making the decision to re-issue the warning or not, especially as the storm began to near the “cone of silence.” Accessing the time series\u00a0 which continued to show >95% ProbHail and a quick glance at a neighboring radar, I had enough forecasting confidence to continue the warning downstream.<\/p>\n
—————————————————————————————————- Mountain Bone<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Had an interesting opportunity to watch a quickly intensifying cell relatively close to the radar.\u00a0 While ProbHail did a decent job monitoring the trend in this cell, its (2 to… <\/p>\n