{"id":16459,"date":"2019-05-08T18:32:01","date_gmt":"2019-05-08T23:32:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/?p=16459"},"modified":"2019-05-09T13:37:45","modified_gmt":"2019-05-09T18:37:45","slug":"16459","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/2019\/05\/08\/16459\/","title":{"rendered":"The Life and Death of a Gulf Storm Through the Eyes of Experimental Products"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In this case of a rapidly developing storm, GLM data was leaned on to issue a SVR Warning on what otherwise may have been a marginal storm. AllSkyLAP showed the storm was developing in an area of MLCAPE values over 2000 J\/kg, and ProbWind model had rapidly increased to ~50%. GOES-16 1-minute imagery showed rapidly cooling cloud tops, with a sharp increase in lightning activity. Given GLM values comparable to other severe storms on the day a SVR warning was placed on the storm. The warning was sent out relatively early to try to capitalize on lead time.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Radar w\/ ProbSevere:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-16468 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2019\/05\/HarrisCo_DevelopingProbWind.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"900\" height=\"395\" \/><\/p>\n<p>IR-Sandwich:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-16473 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2019\/05\/HarrisCo_DevelopingStorm1.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"900\" height=\"395\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Flash Event Density:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-16472 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2019\/05\/HarrisCo_DevelopingStormFED.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"900\" height=\"395\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Minimum Flash Area:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-16471 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2019\/05\/HarrisCo_DevelopingStormMinFlashArea.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"900\" height=\"395\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Event Density:<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-16470 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2019\/05\/HarrisCo_DevelopingStormEventDensity.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"900\" height=\"395\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Total Optical Energy (too fast, whoops!):<br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-16469 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2019\/05\/HarrisCo_DevelopingStormOptical.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"900\" height=\"395\" \/><\/p>\n<p>AllSkyLAP CAPE:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-16488 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2019\/05\/HarrisCounty_DevelopingStorm_AllSkyLAP_CAPE-900x736.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"900\" height=\"736\" srcset=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2019\/05\/HarrisCounty_DevelopingStorm_AllSkyLAP_CAPE-900x736.png 900w, https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2019\/05\/HarrisCounty_DevelopingStorm_AllSkyLAP_CAPE-768x628.png 768w, https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2019\/05\/HarrisCounty_DevelopingStorm_AllSkyLAP_CAPE-600x491.png 600w, https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2019\/05\/HarrisCounty_DevelopingStorm_AllSkyLAP_CAPE.png 955w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 767px) 100vw, (max-width: 1200px) 60vw, 720px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>ProbWind Model Increase:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-16467 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2019\/05\/HarrisCounty_DevelopingStormProbSevere-900x672.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"900\" height=\"672\" srcset=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2019\/05\/HarrisCounty_DevelopingStormProbSevere-900x672.png 900w, https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2019\/05\/HarrisCounty_DevelopingStormProbSevere-768x574.png 768w, https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2019\/05\/HarrisCounty_DevelopingStormProbSevere-600x448.png 600w, https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2019\/05\/HarrisCounty_DevelopingStormProbSevere.png 1146w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 767px) 100vw, (max-width: 1200px) 60vw, 720px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>UPDATE: Shortly after warning on the storm, it completely fell apart after failing to become rooted in the boundary layer and all indicators (i.e., ProbSevere, GLM imagry) dropped to null. Initial warning was shamefully cancelled.<\/p>\n<p>Really living up up to my name!<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Radar w\/ProbSevere:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-16492 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2019\/05\/DyingStorm_RadarProbSVR.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"1874\" height=\"823\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Flash Event Density:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-16493 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2019\/05\/DyingStorm_FED.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"1874\" height=\"823\" \/><\/p>\n<p>ProbWind Model Increase:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-16495 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2019\/05\/DyingStorm_ProbSVR.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"762\" height=\"354\" srcset=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2019\/05\/DyingStorm_ProbSVR.png 762w, https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2019\/05\/DyingStorm_ProbSVR-600x279.png 600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 767px) 100vw, (max-width: 1200px) 60vw, 720px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>#ProtectAndDissipate<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In this case of a rapidly developing storm, GLM data was leaned on to issue a SVR Warning on what otherwise may have been a marginal storm. AllSkyLAP showed the&#8230; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/2019\/05\/08\/16459\/\" class=\"more-link\">Read more \u00bb<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":138,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8,51,10],"tags":[50,52,35],"class_list":["post-16459","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-goesr","category-hwt","category-live-blogs","tag-all-sky-lap","tag-glm","tag-probsevere"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16459","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/138"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16459"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16459\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":16504,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16459\/revisions\/16504"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16459"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16459"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16459"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}