{"id":11003,"date":"2015-05-13T18:45:30","date_gmt":"2015-05-13T23:45:30","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/hwt.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/internal\/blog\/?p=11003"},"modified":"2016-10-03T17:54:17","modified_gmt":"2016-10-03T22:54:17","slug":"probsevere-in-warning-decision-making","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/2015\/05\/13\/probsevere-in-warning-decision-making\/","title":{"rendered":"ProbSevere in Warning Decision Making"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Here is an example where ProbSevere increased from 20% to 97% within 18 minutes (2218 to 2240 UTC) (click image to animate):<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2015\/05\/ProbSevereWarning.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-11011\" src=\"http:\/\/hwt.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/internal\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/ProbSevereWarning-1024x595.gif\" alt=\"ProbSevereWarning\" width=\"584\" height=\"339\" srcset=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2015\/05\/ProbSevereWarning-1024x595.gif 1024w, https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2015\/05\/ProbSevereWarning-300x174.gif 300w, https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2015\/05\/ProbSevereWarning-768x446.gif 768w, https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2015\/05\/ProbSevereWarning-500x290.gif 500w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 767px) 100vw, (max-width: 1200px) 60vw, 720px\" \/><\/a>A three-body scatter signature (TBSS) developed at the end of this time frame, indicating the presence of hail aloft.<\/p>\n<p>By 2248 UTC, MRMS indicated 65.5 dBZ at -20C:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2015\/05\/MRMS_ProbSevere.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-11012\" src=\"http:\/\/hwt.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/internal\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/MRMS_ProbSevere-1024x595.png\" alt=\"MRMS_ProbSevere\" width=\"584\" height=\"339\" srcset=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2015\/05\/MRMS_ProbSevere-1024x595.png 1024w, https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2015\/05\/MRMS_ProbSevere-300x174.png 300w, https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2015\/05\/MRMS_ProbSevere-768x446.png 768w, https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2015\/05\/MRMS_ProbSevere-500x290.png 500w, https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2015\/05\/MRMS_ProbSevere.png 1557w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 767px) 100vw, (max-width: 1200px) 60vw, 720px\" \/><\/a>This is another example where the rapidly increasing ProbSevere indicated an intensifying storm. A severe thunderstorm warning was issued for the storm.<\/p>\n<p>Polarimetric Researcher<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Here is an example where ProbSevere increased from 20% to 97% within 18 minutes (2218 to 2240 UTC) (click image to animate): A three-body scatter signature (TBSS) developed at the&#8230; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/2015\/05\/13\/probsevere-in-warning-decision-making\/\" class=\"more-link\">Read more \u00bb<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":77,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11003","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-general"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11003","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/77"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11003"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11003\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":14036,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11003\/revisions\/14036"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11003"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11003"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11003"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}