Today we are set up as WFO LBB in north central TX.\u00a0 Water vapor imagery (upper left in image below) shows large upper low centered over the four corners region with broad cyclonic flow across NM\/TX with plenty of dry air moving into the forecast area.\u00a0 Visible imagery shows some general clearing across the area as thicker clouds moved out of the area from this morning.\u00a0 Expect convection to develop later this afternoon as atmosphere destabilizes across the region with hail and damaging winds as the main threat. An initial look at the CI product (lower left in image below) is showing mainly low probabilities of initiation across the LBB CWA but there have been some higher probabilities to the west over NM closer to the core of the upper low where lapse rates are steeper and associated with the colder air aloft.<\/p>\n
![\"4pnl_WV_VIS_CI_PW\"](\"https:\/\/inside.nssl.noaa.gov\/ewp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/22\/2015\/05\/4pnl_WV_VIS_CI_PW.png\")
<\/a>Looking at the GOES-R LAP precipitable water data the significant dry air is located in the 700-300mb level (lower left in the below image) which matches up well with RAP analysis soundings.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Not much on the radar this point to look at but will be monitor for developing convection.<\/p>\n