The future torp probabilities here do not match my conceptual model given the current probability of 78%. I would think probabilities would remain high in the near term, and then possibly steadily decrease later on. Here, they decrease through 10 min and then increase again at 15 min. Not sure why.

The above two screenshots were taken one scan apart. In the time series, the probabilities remain high, but the red torp circle drops off from the screen as if the torp probabilities rapidly tanked.

Not that it was really needed, but divshear did show a strong signal with this TDS confirmed tornado.