Similar Soundings

Modified NUCAPS sounding near ILX is pretty similar to KILX special sounding taken at 17Z!  MUCAPES both around 3000 and LI -9.

Values similar to AllSky at 18Z.

Those CAPE values near 2500 J/kg…also similar.

This similarity gives us some confidence in new forecasts, especially in clear sky regions out ahead in the AllSky data.

The forecast NUCAPS CAPE does not show much to the south of our line…and based on clear skies and warm conditions to the south would tend to lean away from this forecast.



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