Slight Risk West and East

Operating across the CONUS today with one team of forecasters located in Idaho/Montana in MSO and the other in Illinois (ILX).  The forecasters have also been encouraged to investigate the environments nearby their official CWAs including the ongoing MCS currently crossing the Chicago CWA.

SPC Day 1 outlook for 16 May 2019

For those in Illinois, the environment remains supportive of development  off of outflows from the ongoing MCS or other possible convection.   Though it remains likely that the MCS will continue to remain strong and pose  a threat for strong winds at least across the NE section of the CWA.

All Sky LAP CAPE

For Idaho, it currently remains rather calm, but the CAMS have consistently latched onto expected convection later in the day including supercell storms.

Sandwich IR/VIS product for Western United States

 

-Kristin

 

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