At 336pm CDT, a supercell storm near Electra, TX produced golf ball sized hail despite MRMS MESH showing sub-severe hail (~0.85″). Despite the low MESH, ProbSevere hail was progged at 75%. KFDR data had 50+ dBZ above 34K feet MSL and the storm was highly tilted downshear (a known limitation of MESH – underestimates in this case). This storm highlights the need to couple MESH/ProbSevere products with a thorough analysis of the base radar data and a fundamental understanding of strengths and limitations of supplementary datasets.

–Stanley Cupp