One last satellite comparison and forecast

The first two images showing the simulated satellite imagery (left) and the real-time satellite imagery (right) reflect the overly rambunctious coverage in the simulated imagery earlier in the day (1st image), however the latest images (2nd image) shows the simulated imagery underestimating the intensity with the storm in CO. Looking at the last two images, forecast imagery for 03Z and 06Z, they imply that perhaps the simulation is just lagging behind with generating the intense storms in eastern CO. Based on this simulation, and the fact that it has performed well all day, I would expect additional storms to develop in eastern CO/western KS over the next several hours…moving east thereafter.

060414_2115Z_satCompare 060414_0015Z_satCompare 060414_06Z_satIR_fcst 060414_03Z-satIR_fcst-KP

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